Google

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Grey Market Premium Dt. 25-6-2009

Latest Grey Market Premium Dt. 25-6-2009

Company Name

Offer Price

(Rs.)

Premium

(Rs.)

Application of

Rs. 1 Lac.

(Kostak Price Rs.)

Subject to

Sauda

Mahindra Holidays

275 to 325

38 to 40

2100 to 2200

27 to 28

Rishabhdev Techno

29 to 33

5 to 7

--

Mahindra Holidays & Resorts: An expensive holiday

Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India is entering the capital market on 23rd June 09 with a public issue of 92.65 lakh equity shares of Rs. 10 each in the price band of Rs. 275 to Rs. 325 per share. Of this, fresh issue is of 58.96 lakh shares while offer for sale by Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. is of 33.69 lakh shares. So, over 36% of issue proceeds will go to the promoters.

The company needs to be valued as a hotel company or as a resort company or even as a travel & tourism company. And we feel that on all three parameters, the IPO would look expensive.

For FY09, the total income of the company was at Rs.442 crore, showing a growth of 17% over FY08 performance. Despite debt free status of the company, bottomline fell to Rs. 79.80 crore showing a de-growth of 5%. Even, cash profit of company for the year was at Rs. 102.52 crore for FY09 against Rs.99.08 crore of FY08 thus showing a meagre growth of 3.50% only. EPS for FY09 was placed at Rs. 10.37. This implies issue of shares at a PE multiple of 27 - 31 times.

If we assume price discovery at Rs. 325 per share, fresh issue works at Rs. 192 crore. Does it mean that the company does not have fund requirement of more than this? Though it is stated to be at Rs. 211 crore in RHP, for financing of expansion of resort and setting up of new projects, which seems too general.

Indian Hotels is ruling at Rs. 62 which translates into a market capitalization of Rs. 4,500 crore with enterprise value(EV) of Rs. 7,500 crore taking a net debt of Rs. 3,000 crore. Hotel Leelaventure ruling at Rs. 32 has market capitalization of Rs. 1,200 crore with EV of close to Rs. 2,000 crore. Even on earning basis, it is ruling at a PE of below 20. EHL Ltd. ruling at 127 also has a market capitalization of Rs. 5,000 crore with EV of Rs. 6,500 crore. So, this valuation looks definitely expensive, when compared to these hotels.

Also, if we see the track record of resort companies like Country Club, Sterling Holiday or Suman Motels, they have never rewarded the shareholders in the past and have always been ruling at low PE multiples. Country Club with an estimated EPS of over Rs. 10 for FY09 (on Rs. 2 face value) is ruling at Rs. 28, implying a PE of less than 3 times with market cap of just Rs.225 crore. Even in Travel & Tourism sector, a company like Thomas Cook is ruling at a PE multiple of close to 24 times.

Based on the past financial performance and even the assets owned by the company, there is no justification for a valuation of even Rs. 275 per share, as it translates into a value of over Rs. 2,300 crore. In any public issue, atleast 15% needs to be left for the prospective investors on the table. If we see this kind of stiff pricing from an established group like Mahindras, how can we expect primary market to revive and survive and reward the investors?

It is better to buy the stocks of large and established hotel companies like Indian hotels, EHL or Hotel Leela which has better business model, assets backing and growth prospects rather than going for this issue.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Grey Market Premium Dt. 17-6-2009

IPO of Mahindra holidays & Resorts India Ltd.

Opens on 23rd June Closes on 26th June

Equity Size: 92,65,275

Latest Grey Market Premium Dt. 17-6-2009

Company Name

Offer Price

(Rs.)

Premium

(Rs.)

Application of

Rs. 1 Lac.

(Kostak Price Rs.)

Rishabhdev Techno

29 to 33

8 to 10

--

Note: Dont subscribe for issue by just seeing premium Price as it may change anytime before listing. Subscribe only considering Fundamental of the companies

Sunday, June 7, 2009

Rishabhdev Technocable: Stay away

Rishabhdev Technocable has entered the capital market on 4th June with public issue of 90 lakh equity shares of Rs. 10 each in the band of Rs.29 to Rs.33 and issue is closing on 9th June 09.

The company went public in June 97 and got its shares listed on Pune and Jaipur Stock exchanges. But since both the exchanges are defunct now, the shares are not traded on these exchanges. The company presently has its manufacturing facilities at Daman for manufacture of industrial control cables, hi-tech data cables, process control instrument signal cables, thermocouple extension and compensating cables etc.

The company is now setting up two new manufacturing units at Daman and Silvassa for manufacturing electrical control and power cables and proceeds to be mobilized from the public issue would get partly used to finance this expansion.

The company will continue to remain a small cap stock with high equity base and with not much high degree of corporate governance. The issue is not well publicized and hence may get cornered to run momentum play on listing. Investment in the issue is not advised.