Google

Friday, March 26, 2010

Grey Market Premium Dt. 26-3-2010

Latest Grey Market Premium Dt. 26-3-2010

Company Name

Offer Price

(Rs.)

Premium

(Rs.)

Kostak

(Rs. 1 Lac Application)

DQ Entertainment (Inter.)

80

62 to 65

--

Pradip Overseas

110

15 to 16

--

ILFS Transportation

258

40 to 42

--

Persistent Sys.

310

135 to 140

--

Shree Ganesh Jewellery

260

2 to 3

--

Infrasoft Technology

137 to 145

55 to 57

1700 to 1900

Goenka Diamond & Jewellery

135 to 145

Discount

2000 to 2100

Note: Dont subscribe for issue by just seeing premium Price as it may change anytime before listing. Subscribe only considering Fundamental of the companies

Thursday, March 25, 2010

IPO News Dt.: 25-3-2010

IPO News Dt.: 25-3-2010

Company Name

Open

Date

Close

Date

Issue Size

Offer

Price

Rating

Recomm.

Intrasoft Technology Ltd.

(BOOK Building)

23-3-2010

26-3-2010

37,00,000 Shares

(Rs. 54 Cr.)

137 to 145

44 %

Good

Goenka Diamond & Jewels

(BOOK Building)

23-3-2010

26-3-2010

1 Cr. Shares

(Rs. 145 Cr.)

135 to 145

37 %

Avoid

Shree Ganesh Jewellery IPO Subscribed

19-3-2010

22-3-2010

23-3-2010

QIB

0.7318

0.9421

1.3819

HNI

2.9690

3.3170

6.1264

Retail

0.3919

0.51

1.39

Average

0.88

1.07

1.96

Intrasoft Technology Ltd. IPO Subscribed

23-3-2010

24-3-2010

QIB

0.8895

1.6858

HNI

0.7206

1.2184

Retail

0.0482

0.3516

Average

0.57

1.15

Goenka Diamond & Jewels IPO Subscribed

23-3-2010

24-3-2010

QIB

1.0690

1.0690

HNI

7.3682

3.8355

Retail

0.0362

0.1777

Average

1.65

1.17

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Goenka Diamond & Jewels: No Go

Goenka Diamond & Jewels is entering the capital market from 23rd March 10 to 26th March 2010, with a public issue of 1 crore equity shares, of Rs. 10 each, in the price band of Rs. 135 to Rs. 145 per share.

The company is a recent entrant in the diamond jewellery segment with respected topline of around Rs. 400 crores and is trying to grow big, with high aspirations. But, the financials of the company are really pathetic, which indicates the financial crisis and hardships at the end of the company. For 9 months ending Dec. 09, the total income of the company was at Rs. 410 crores, whereas sundry debtors, as on 31-12-09, stood at Rs. 375 crores, which represents a debtor cycle of over 8 months. This is largely financed by sundry creditors of Rs. 325 crores, which results in further drain on the margins of the company. Even the sanctioned export credit, from 4 banks, are just at Rs. 60 crores, including Rs. 10 crores of ad-hoc limits. This has been utilized upto Rs. 57 crores. On a net worth of Rs. 102 crores, as at Dec. 09, the net block of fixed assets are just at Rs. 8 crores.

Of the present revenue, about 75% comes from exports, while 25% from branded jewellery of the company, from domestic markets. The company claims to be having higher margin on domestic sales, which is not evident or supported by the tax liability of the company, which is just 7 per cent for FY10 and below 5 per cent for FY09, on its PBT.

The company has been trying to work on so many avenues like acquiring a Russian company to procure rough diamonds, opening stores in India, as also, setting up new jewellery making and diamond processing units. Of the total fund estimates of Rs. 125 crores, Rs. 85 crore is for working capital requirements, while Rs. 25 crore is for investment in subsidiary. Both of these are not likely to yield much results or any accretion in the bottomline of the company. An amount of just Rs. 15 crores is earmarked for opening stores and setting up new facilities.

Existing diamond jewellery companies like Shrenuj, Su- Raj, Classic and Suashish are ruling at a PE multiple of 6-7 times ,while the company is planning to issue shares at the upper band of Rs. 145 per share, at a PE multiple of 12 times, on FY09 earnings and at a multiple of over 7 times on FY10 earnings.

Shrenuj a comparable peer has much better financials, with promoters’ having presence of over 4 generations in the industry, with total income at Rs. 1,278 crores, for first 9 months of FY10, with PAT at Rs. 37 crores, resulting in an EPS of Rs. 5.30 for the period, on a afce value of Rs. 2 , per share. This share is ruling at a PE of about 5.50 times, at its current market price of Rs. 38 and with expected EPS of over Rs. 7, for FY10. Even the board of Shrenuj is quite trustworthy and illumanaries. Even, Su-Raj with expected topline of Rs. 2,900 crores and PAT of Rs. 54 crores, for FY10, which will result in an EPS of Rs. 9, is ruling at Rs. 49, translating in a PE multiple of about 5.50 times.

Considering these, the object of the issue does not justify IPO at all and share even at the lower band of Rs. 135, looks very expensive. It does not deserve a valuation of over Rs. 100 per share, under any circumstances. Hence, advise to just avoid it.

Intrasoft Technologies: 1-2-3 No Greetings

Intrasoft Technologies is entering the capital market from 23rd March 10 to 26th Mar 2010, with a public issue of 37 lakh equity shares, of Rs.10 each, in the price band of Rs.137 to Rs.145 per share.

Better recognized as the online greetings portal 123Greetings.com, the company may be high in terms of some brand presence when it comes to greeting cards online. But a cursory scrutiny of its financials shows that all the good wishes sent back and forth by users have not really helped the bottomlines. The financial performance of the company has been on a very low scale and topline has been stagnant for the last over 5 years. For FY09, on consolidated basis, the total income of the company was at Rs.23.35 crores, which was at Rs.14.93 crores, in FY05. So a growth of just 55% in last 4 years. However, PAT rose to Rs. 5.33 crores in FY09, from Rs. 2.13 crores in FY05. A growth of 150%. However, with such a tiny level of activity, the management has balloned its paid up equity to Rs. 11.03 crores, on pre-IPO basis. This has happened due to conversion of CCPS and issue of bonus shares in the ratio of 6 bonus shares for every 1 share held. On present equity base, EPS for FY09 was placed at Rs. 4.85, while it is at Rs. 5.55, for FY10, on an annualised basis.

Also, it is strange to see the company having MAT liability only for FY09 , which also got adjusted against MAT credit, thus having no significant tax burden for the year. This is more confusing to see carry forward losses of Rs. 12.77 crores , as at 31st March, 09, as per income tax, with the company. Also, the company is not seen of having paid income tax in the years FY 05 to FY 09, and inspite of that MAT credit has been availed in FY 08 to FY 10. All this needs a close scrutiny and explanation.

The paid up equity of the company will rise to Rs. 14.73 crores and if we value it at Rs. 145 per share, being the upper band, the market cap of the company will be Rs. 215 crores. We don’t think that this kind of valuation is justified for the company, which translates into a multiple of 10 times of its topline and 36 times of its bottomline.

The company is derives 86% of its revenue from online advertising activities. The company has now chalked out a capex plan of Rs. 35 crores, which largely includes Rs. 20 crores for branding and promotion. The company is sitting on cash and bank balance of Rs. 18.80 crores as at 30-9-09, coupled with annual cash flow of over Rs. 7 crores. So, why this war chest can’t get used for branding and promotion? Also, strangely the company is planning to buy corporate office in Kolkata, for which Rs. 13 crores has been estimated. Atleast, this could have been done by the company with its bank balances.

Infact the company is not in need of money at all and this IPO has just been structured to garner Rs. 50 crores, at an exorbitant and hefty valuations. Remain away from the issue.

Sunday, March 21, 2010

Shree Ganesh Jewellery: Go for it

Shree Ganesh Jewellery House is entering the capital market from 19th March 2010 to 23rd mar 2010 with a public issue of 1.43 crore equity shares, of Rs.10 each, in the price band of Rs.260 – Rs.270 per share. Of this, fresh issue is of 1.21 crore shares, while offer for sale is of 21.33 lakh shares.

All that glitters is not gold but currently, on the bourses, investments with glitter, ie: issues with “jewellery” in their name, seem to have the gold touch. Investors have expressed a special panache for such IPOs, as was evident from Thangamayil issue.

Shree Ganesh presently has four manufacturing units, located in a SEZ in W. Bengal, with capacity to make 30,500 kgs. of gold jewellery with 15 in-house designers. The company having achieved success in export of gold jewellery, has started marketing its branded jewellery under brand “Gaja”, for which, it has a tie up with Sabyasachi Mukherjee with Mandira Bedi as its brand ambassador. The company presently has 13 retail outlets and intends to open 46 new retail outlets over next three years. These 46 retail outlets will be, 14 owned outlets, 3 rental outlets, 18 shop-in-shop outlets and 11 on franchisee model.

The financial performance of the company has been quite encouraging. For FY09, on consolidated basis, the total income of the company was placed at Rs. 2,943 crores with PAT at Rs. 134 crores, resulting in an EPS of Rs. 27.50, on present and expanded equity base of Rs. 48.55 crores. For 6 months ending Sept 09, total income was placed at Rs. 1,447 crores with PAT at Rs. 81 crores, resulting in an annualised EPS of over Rs.33. During this period, EBITDA margin of the company had improved from 7.20% in FY09 to 8.54% in H1 of FY10.

If we compare the financials of this company, with listed peers, there are 3 companies available, which are Titan Industries, Gitanjali Gems and Rajesh Exports. Infact, Rajesh Exports is having very poor NPM of 0.75% but still ruling at a PE multiple of over 20 times, mainly due to healthy topline. Gitanjali Gems is having a NPM of 4.15% for first 9 months of FY10 and is ruling at a PE multiple of about 8 times. Titan Industries, having significant presence in jewellery space, which contributes about 75% of its topline , has a NPM of less than 6%, is ruling at a PE multiple of 30 times. A recently listed jewellery company, Thangamayil Jewellery having presence in retail in southern India, had a NPM of 3% in FY09 and 3.8% in HI of FY10. Even EBITDA margin of this company was just at 4.90% in FY09 and 7.10% in HI of FY10. However, this company, having NPM of 5.60% is expected to have an EPS of Rs.35 for FY10 and share at the upper band of Rs. 270, is being issued at a PE of close to 8 times.

The company has book debts of close to 37 days and inventory of less than 15 days, which indicates better working capital management. Infact, it has strong bank balances of Rs.629 crores, as at 30 September 09, largely in form of bank fixed deposits, which are used by the company, as margin money, to avail non-fund based facilities from the bank. Fund based working capital facilities having availed by the company, of about Rs.375 crores, as at 30-09-09, largely offset the interest burden of the company on net basis. For 6 months ending Sept 09, the company had an interest and finance charges of Rs.40 crores, which was largely offset by interest income of Rs.27 crores, earned in this period. Due to fund and non-fund based limits being availed by the company from over 10 banks, indicates good quality of current assets as also poses confidence in the company.

The company is now going in for an expansion of about Rs.330 crores, for setting up new manufacturing facilities, expansion of existing manufacturing facilities and setting up retail outlets. This is largely financed by proposed fresh issue of about Rs.325 crores calculated at the upper price band. As all the expansion are likely to get completed in calendar year 2010, part benefits of this will be reflected in the financials of FY11, in which an EPS of over Rs.45 can be expected. As stated, present cash balance of Rs.625 crores will be able to meet the enhanced working capital requirements.

Considering this, share at 270 is issued at a PE of about 8 times on historic earnings and about 6 times on FY11 earnings. This makes the issue attractive and investment is recommended in the issue at the upper price band.

Monday, March 15, 2010

IPO Updates: 15-Mar-2010

IPO News Dt.: 15-3-2010

Company Name

Open

Date

Close

Date

Issue Size

Offer

Price

Rating

Recomm.

Pradip Overseas

(BOOK Building)

11-3-2010

15-3-2010

1,06,00,000 Shares

(Rs. 117 Cr.)

100 to 110

41 %

Listing Gain

ILFS Transportation

(BOOK Building)

11-3-2010

15-3-2010

27,131,783 Shares

(Rs. 700 Cr.)

242 to 258

44 %

Good

(Long Term)

Persistent Systems Ltd.

(BOOK Building)

17-3-2010

19-3-2010

5419706 Shares

(Rs. 168 Cr.)

290 to 310

DQ Entertainment (Int.) Ltd. IPO Subscribed

8-3-2010

9-3-2010

10-3-2010

QIB

1.2003

6.4708

93.86

HNI

0.0013

0.0519

272.88

Retail

0.2431

0.9348

19.44

Employee

0.0037

0.0125

0.36

Average

0.69

3.57

86.33

NMDC FPO Subscribed

10-3-2010

11-3-2010

12-3-2010

QIB

0.337

1.5567

2.28

HNI

0.0007

0.061

0.22

Retail

0.0117

0.0285

0.21

Employee

0.000

0.0399

0.06

Average

0.17

0.79

1.25

Pradip Overseas IPO Subscribed

11-3-2010

12-3-2010

QIB

1.0852

1.2683

HNI

7.0547

7.086

Retail

1.7436

1.9559

Employee

0.0132

0.053

Average

2.11

2.27

IL&FS Transportation Networks IPO Subscribed

11-3-2010

12-3-2010

QIB

0.6380

3.53

HNI

0.0137

0.023

Retail

0.028

0.1356

Average

0.34

1.86